Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Desenzano Calvina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
32.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
CAL
1 - 0
VCB
47%
23%
31%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 2
VCB
40%
23%
37%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
VCB
0 - 1
SER
52%
22%
26%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
VCB
0 - 1
CAL
34%
22%
44%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Desenzano Calvina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
DES
1 - 1
SCA
44%
24%
32%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
ADR
2 - 0
DES
52%
21%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
DES
0 - 0
CAS
36%
22%
42%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |