Insieme Formia vs Aprilia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
45.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Insieme Formia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
AFR
2 - 1
FOR
61%
19%
20%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
FOR
1 - 2
VIS
39%
23%
39%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
GLA
4 - 0
FOR
52%
22%
25%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
FOR
1 - 2
MUR
51%
22%
27%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
CAR
3 - 3
FOR
44%
23%
33%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
CYN
3 - 1
APR
34%
23%
43%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
APR
3 - 0
LAN
56%
23%
21%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
ULD
0 - 1
APR
42%
28%
31%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
APR
2 - 1
AUR
71%
17%
12%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
RMS
1 - 3
APR
19%
21%
61%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |