Virtus Lanciano vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
35.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
CES
0 - 1
VIR
56%
25%
20%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
VIR
1 - 1
REG
30%
27%
43%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
BRE
2 - 2
VIR
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
VIR
0 - 2
BEN
39%
25%
36%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -2 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
NOV
1 - 1
VIR
72%
18%
10%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
AVE
1 - 0
TER
53%
26%
21%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
LAT
1 - 1
AVE
31%
27%
42%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
AVE
2 - 1
NOV
26%
26%
48%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
AVE
1 - 0
CES
39%
26%
36%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
AVE
1 - 0
ASS
73%
17%
10%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | 0 |