Virtus Lanciano vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.8%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
31.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 0
VIR
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
VIR
1 - 1
TER
51%
27%
22%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2015 |
TRA
1 - 0
VIR
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
VIR
0 - 1
PES
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
CRO
1 - 1
VIR
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2015 |
SPE
0 - 0
VIC
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
SPE
4 - 1
BRE
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2015 |
CTT
1 - 3
SPE
38%
29%
33%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
SPE
3 - 0
TRA
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
BOL
0 - 0
SPE
53%
27%
21%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |