Virtus Lanciano vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.9%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
41.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
SAL
1 - 3
VIR
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
VIR
1 - 0
BRE
33%
27%
40%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
COM
1 - 1
VIR
30%
28%
42%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
VIR
1 - 0
BAR
33%
28%
39%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
SPE
2 - 0
VIR
60%
24%
17%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
COM
1 - 3
CES
22%
27%
51%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2016 |
CES
1 - 2
SAL
67%
21%
12%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
SPE
1 - 1
CES
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
CES
2 - 0
CAG
31%
27%
42%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
LIV
1 - 1
CES
39%
27%
34%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |