Serie C Playoffs Ascenso. Last 16
Global 2-0
Sambenedettese vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
45.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2017 |
ASG
2 - 3
SSS
38%
24%
38%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
SSS
2 - 1
POR
32%
26%
42%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
ANC
1 - 2
SSS
26%
24%
50%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
SSS
2 - 3
SAN
49%
27%
24%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
MOD
2 - 1
SSS
44%
26%
30%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
LEC
1 - 1
FIA
67%
20%
12%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
PAG
1 - 1
LEC
22%
26%
52%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
LEC
0 - 1
MES
75%
17%
8%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
MAT
1 - 1
LEC
37%
27%
36%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
LEC
3 - 0
TAR
75%
16%
8%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | 0 |