Sambenedettese vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22%
30.7%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.7%
33.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1977 |
MOD
1 - 1
SSS
55%
27%
18%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
SSS
0 - 1
USC
53%
29%
19%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
CAG
0 - 0
SSS
65%
22%
13%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
SSS
1 - 1
BAR
52%
30%
18%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
VER
3 - 5
SSS
76%
15%
9%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1977 |
CES
0 - 1
LEC
60%
24%
16%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
LEC
2 - 0
BRE
62%
24%
14%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
ASC
1 - 0
LEC
45%
29%
26%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
LEC
2 - 0
CAG
46%
28%
26%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
USF
1 - 1
LEC
65%
18%
17%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |