Sambenedettese vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
14.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
SSS
4 - 2
PIA
35%
27%
38%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
RAV
0 - 2
SSS
39%
27%
34%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
SSS
1 - 1
MOD
52%
25%
23%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
FER
1 - 1
SSS
21%
24%
55%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
SSS
2 - 1
UAR
66%
21%
14%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
VIS
1 - 1
FER
48%
27%
25%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
FER
1 - 2
PAD
11%
23%
66%
|
42 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
FCS
3 - 0
FER
64%
23%
14%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
FER
1 - 1
SSS
21%
24%
55%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
PIA
0 - 1
FER
74%
18%
9%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +1 |