Sambenedettese vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
17.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
SSS
1 - 1
TRI
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2017 |
ABN
0 - 1
SSS
38%
26%
36%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
SSS
1 - 1
POR
38%
27%
35%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2017 |
TER
0 - 2
SSS
32%
26%
42%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2017 |
CAS
3 - 1
SSS
26%
24%
50%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2017 |
FER
0 - 0
RAV
45%
26%
29%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
FAN
1 - 0
FER
32%
27%
41%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
FER
3 - 1
REN
30%
29%
41%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2017 |
PAD
0 - 0
FER
68%
20%
12%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
ASG
0 - 0
FER
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |