Assad vs Kariobangi Sharks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.7%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
75.6%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
10%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.8%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.1%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Assad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
ASS
1 - 1
DFC
43%
22%
36%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
BBF
1 - 3
ASS
42%
22%
36%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Kariobangi Sharks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
KAS
3 - 0
NZO
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
KAK
1 - 1
KAS
57%
24%
19%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
KAS
3 - 2
TUS
25%
26%
48%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +2 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
ULI
1 - 2
KAS
35%
27%
38%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
POS
1 - 5
KAS
46%
28%
26%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |