Kauno Žalgiris vs Zalgiris Vilnius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
41.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
2º
6º
5º
75
2º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kauno Žalgiris
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
KZA
0 - 0
FAS
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SUD
2 - 4
KZA
32%
28%
39%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ZAL
1 - 1
KZA
52%
23%
25%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
KZA
2 - 0
BEN
70%
18%
12%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
KZA
3 - 0
BAN
76%
16%
8%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
ZAL
1 - 0
BAN
78%
15%
6%
|
75 | 51 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
ZAL
2 - 3
DTE
78%
16%
7%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ZAL
1 - 1
KZA
52%
23%
25%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
ZAL
4 - 1
NEP
78%
14%
8%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
SHK
4 - 0
ZAL
28%
23%
49%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |