Kauno Žalgiris vs Siauliai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
2º
6º
5º
62
2º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kauno Žalgiris
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SUD
2 - 4
KZA
32%
28%
39%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ZAL
1 - 1
KZA
52%
23%
25%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
KZA
2 - 0
BEN
70%
18%
12%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
KZA
3 - 0
BAN
76%
16%
8%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
RIG
2 - 0
KZA
49%
23%
28%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Siauliai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
TRA
0 - 1
FAS
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
SUD
1 - 1
FAS
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
PAN
1 - 0
FAS
53%
23%
25%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
FSM
2 - 4
FAS
23%
21%
55%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
FAS
0 - 0
FKJ
65%
20%
15%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |