Spy vs Union Rochefortoise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
26.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
JOD
3 - 4
SPY
50%
21%
30%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
SPY
0 - 1
MOR
50%
21%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
AYW
3 - 0
SPY
43%
23%
34%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
RIC
1 - 3
SPY
80%
14%
7%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
SPY
1 - 5
HER
59%
20%
22%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Union Rochefortoise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
ROC
1 - 3
OPP
59%
20%
20%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
WAR
4 - 2
ROC
51%
21%
28%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
ROC
5 - 1
MEI
57%
22%
22%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
SPR
2 - 2
ROC
54%
20%
26%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
ROC
1 - 1
AIS
40%
23%
37%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |