Spy vs Pesche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
17.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
SPY
4 - 1
ROC
51%
21%
28%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
FOS
1 - 5
SPY
23%
20%
57%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
MOL
1 - 6
SPY
23%
21%
57%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
SPY
3 - 1
GRA
50%
21%
29%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
SPY
2 - 0
WEP
21%
20%
59%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +4 |
Matches
Pesche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
MOL
2 - 6
PES
37%
22%
41%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
PES
1 - 1
GRA
30%
24%
46%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
MEU
0 - 3
PES
49%
21%
31%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
PES
3 - 0
LOY
50%
23%
27%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2017 |
PES
1 - 0
LIG
42%
24%
34%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |