Spy vs Aywaille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
42.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
SPY
0 - 4
AIS
26%
22%
52%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
HER
3 - 1
SPY
60%
19%
21%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
SPY
0 - 4
WAR
41%
23%
36%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -2 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
ROC
1 - 5
SPY
61%
20%
20%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
MEI
1 - 3
SPY
37%
24%
39%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Aywaille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
AYW
2 - 0
HER
49%
21%
30%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
OPP
4 - 3
AYW
45%
23%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
AYW
2 - 1
RIC
24%
23%
53%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +2 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
WAR
1 - 1
AYW
70%
17%
14%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
SPR
3 - 1
AYW
56%
21%
24%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |