SpVgg Vreden vs Siegen Sportfreunde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
28.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
6º
17º
8º
49
7º
16º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 76 |
1º
|
91.5% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 71 |
2º
|
83% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 66 |
3º
|
47% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 65 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 59 |
5º
|
60% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 58 |
6º
|
62% | |
|
|
8º
|
49 | 53 |
7º
|
40% | |
|
|
7º
|
50 | 53 |
8º
|
36.5% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 51 |
9º
|
68% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 44 |
10º
|
87% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 41 |
11º
|
78.5% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 38 |
12º
|
84% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 35 |
13º
|
57.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 32 |
14º
|
30% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 32 |
15º
|
21.5% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 32 |
16º
|
46.5% | |
|
17º
|
26 | 27 |
17º
|
78.5% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 25 |
18º
|
91% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Vreden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
ERK
3 - 1
SVR
28%
21%
51%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
SVR
1 - 0
WAT
40%
21%
39%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +2 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
BGH
3 - 2
SVR
26%
22%
52%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
SVR
2 - 4
ASC
56%
20%
25%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
SPO
4 - 0
SVR
24%
21%
54%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Siegen Sportfreunde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
SPO
3 - 3
SFB
36%
22%
43%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
GIE
3 - 1
SPO
45%
23%
32%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 1
TDO
89%
8%
3%
|
26 | 8 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 6
SCF
44%
23%
33%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
BSC
3 - 1
SPO
63%
20%
17%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |