SpVgg Vreden vs Preußen Münster II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
48.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
6º
17º
9º
57
3º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
64 | 64 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
61 | 61 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
57 | 57 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
79% | |
|
8º
|
51 | 51 |
8º
|
79% | |
|
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
79% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
26 | 26 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Vreden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
SPR
1 - 1
SVR
67%
17%
16%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SVR
0 - 0
SPO
51%
21%
28%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
ERK
3 - 1
SVR
28%
21%
51%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
SVR
1 - 0
WAT
40%
21%
39%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +2 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
BGH
3 - 2
SVR
26%
22%
52%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Preußen Münster II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
PRE
6 - 0
SFB
63%
18%
19%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
GIE
1 - 1
PRE
31%
23%
45%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
PRE
1 - 1
TDO
92%
6%
2%
|
35 | 8 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
ERH
0 - 0
PRE
32%
23%
45%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
PRE
3 - 0
TVC
64%
18%
18%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |