SpVgg Vreden vs Preußen Münster II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
48.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
6º
15º
11º
65
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 32 |
17º
|
0% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 32 |
18º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Vreden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SCH
1 - 4
SVR
64%
18%
18%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
ASC
2 - 1
SVR
65%
18%
17%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
SVR
1 - 1
SPO
58%
20%
22%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
TUS
2 - 3
SVR
76%
14%
10%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ERN
2 - 1
SVR
40%
22%
38%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Preußen Münster II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
ERN
1 - 2
PRE
19%
20%
62%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
PRE
3 - 0
TVC
65%
18%
17%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
DSC
0 - 1
PRE
25%
21%
54%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
PRE
2 - 3
SPR
77%
14%
10%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
PAD
1 - 1
PRE
62%
19%
19%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |