SpVgg Lam vs Fortuna Regensburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.4%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
74.1%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
9%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.6%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.5%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Lam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2016 |
REG
3 - 2
SVL
87%
9%
4%
|
11 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
SVL
1 - 2
FCS
16%
19%
65%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
FCT
1 - 0
SVL
73%
15%
12%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
SVL
6 - 0
TVS
61%
19%
20%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
AMM
3 - 2
SVL
87%
9%
4%
|
11 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Regensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2018 |
REG
3 - 0
TBA
45%
23%
32%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
SVE
2 - 2
REG
27%
20%
53%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
REG
2 - 0
TSW
39%
22%
39%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
REG
0 - 4
JRE
24%
22%
54%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2018 |
REG
4 - 1
SVH
58%
19%
23%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |