SpVgg Frechen vs Pesch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
13.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+59%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Frechen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
TSL
3 - 5
SPF
18%
20%
61%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
SPF
2 - 0
TMA
60%
20%
20%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2016 |
FVW
1 - 1
SPF
42%
23%
35%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
SPF
3 - 1
TMO
76%
14%
10%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
MER
3 - 0
SPF
50%
22%
29%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Pesch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
KOW
0 - 0
PES
38%
23%
39%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
PES
0 - 2
TSL
81%
12%
7%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2016 |
TMA
4 - 1
PES
40%
23%
37%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
PES
1 - 1
FVW
52%
21%
27%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
TMO
1 - 0
PES
17%
20%
63%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |