St. Martin vs Sierning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
19.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Martin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
GMU
0 - 4
SSM
59%
19%
22%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
WEL
3 - 2
SSM
46%
22%
32%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
SSM
1 - 3
GRU
44%
22%
34%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
DON
1 - 0
SSM
45%
22%
33%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
SSM
2 - 3
UNI
47%
22%
31%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sierning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
SIE
1 - 3
MAR
66%
18%
16%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
SIE
0 - 2
UNI
26%
24%
50%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
UNP
2 - 2
SIE
53%
22%
25%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
SIE
1 - 0
VOC
12%
20%
68%
|
13 | 30 | 17 | +3 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
BAD
2 - 2
SIE
56%
22%
22%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |