Ostermiething vs Oedt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.3%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19%
59.7%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
8º
8º
64
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
64 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 52 |
2º
|
47% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 52 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 51 |
4º
|
21% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 50 |
5º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 49 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 48 |
7º
|
33% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 43 |
8º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 42 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 41 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 41 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 39 |
12º
|
56% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 33 |
13º
|
89% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 30 |
14º
|
86.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 26 |
15º
|
93% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ostermiething
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
WEL
1 - 4
OST
20%
19%
62%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
OST
4 - 2
WEA
18%
18%
64%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | +3 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
PWD
3 - 1
OST
73%
15%
12%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
OST
4 - 1
UNP
44%
22%
34%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +2 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
ASV
0 - 4
OST
61%
19%
20%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Oedt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
OED
5 - 0
STM
74%
15%
11%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SBL
2 - 0
OED
7%
12%
81%
|
39 | 13 | 26 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
OED
6 - 1
SVF
85%
10%
5%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
BAD
3 - 0
OED
8%
14%
78%
|
41 | 16 | 25 | -3 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
OED
6 - 1
SPG
88%
9%
3%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | -1 |