Ostermiething vs St. Valentin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
43.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-64%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
9º
15º
14º
42
4º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 55 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 54 |
4º
|
29.5% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
5º
|
99% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
6º
|
37% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
38% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
87.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 41 |
9º
|
51.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 39 |
10º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 38 |
12º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 37 |
13º
|
31% | |
|
|
14º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 19 |
15º
|
98.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 4 |
16º
|
98.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ostermiething
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
UNI
5 - 0
OST
72%
15%
12%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
WEL
1 - 1
OST
50%
20%
30%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
GRU
2 - 1
OST
67%
17%
16%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
OST
4 - 0
SPG
27%
22%
51%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | +2 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
OST
4 - 2
FRI
42%
22%
36%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
St. Valentin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
ASV
1 - 1
UNP
55%
22%
23%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
STM
2 - 1
ASV
63%
19%
18%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
ASV
2 - 5
UNI
51%
23%
27%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
SVZ
0 - 1
ASV
36%
23%
41%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ASV
0 - 3
SVW
45%
23%
33%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |