Sportlust 46 vs Excelsior .31 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
32.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportlust 46
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
HAR
0 - 1
SPO
58%
21%
21%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2022 |
SPO
0 - 0
ACV
61%
21%
18%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
SPO
4 - 2
STA
47%
23%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
ODI
2 - 2
SPO
55%
23%
23%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
SPO
0 - 2
SPA
29%
25%
46%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
EXC
1 - 0
DOV
66%
19%
15%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
EXC
2 - 0
STA
48%
23%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
DVS
2 - 1
EXC
51%
23%
26%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
EXC
0 - 0
HOE
61%
20%
19%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
ODI
5 - 1
EXC
37%
24%
39%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -2 |