Sportivo Trinidense vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
26%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
4º
12º
5º
21
5º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 42 |
1º
|
76.5% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 38 |
2º
|
55% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 38 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 34 |
4º
|
82% | |
|
|
5º
|
28 | 31 |
5º
|
62% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 29 |
6º
|
29% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 28 |
7º
|
39% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 25 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
21 | 24 |
9º
|
22% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 24 |
10º
|
28.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 21 |
11º
|
63% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 18 |
12º
|
85% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Trinidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2025 |
LIB
1 - 1
SPT
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
SPT
2 - 1
2DE
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2025 |
JLM
1 - 1
SPT
38%
28%
35%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2025 |
SPT
1 - 1
OLI
42%
28%
30%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2025 |
CCP
1 - 0
SPT
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
NAC
4 - 0
LQE
45%
28%
28%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
TEM
1 - 2
NAC
35%
29%
36%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
NAC
0 - 1
AME
40%
28%
32%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
GUA
2 - 1
NAC
49%
28%
24%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2025 |
NAC
1 - 1
CDR
46%
28%
27%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |