Sportivo San Lorenzo vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
57.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
AME
2 - 1
SPO
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
SPO
3 - 3
LQE
29%
29%
42%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 0
SPO
44%
27%
30%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
SPO
2 - 0
CAR
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
SPO
0 - 1
SPO
38%
28%
35%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 2
SPC
62%
20%
18%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
3 - 2
GEN
63%
21%
17%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2015 |
DEP
2 - 1
GUA
28%
25%
47%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2015 |
GUA
3 - 1
NAC
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 4
GUA
23%
24%
53%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | -1 |