Sportivo Patria vs Independiente Fontana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
7.1%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
SMA
0 - 0
SPA
45%
28%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
RES
1 - 1
SPA
16%
22%
62%
|
55 | 32 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
SPA
1 - 0
LAG
76%
16%
8%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2013 |
ALU
1 - 1
SPA
14%
22%
65%
|
55 | 26 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
SPA
1 - 1
SAR
68%
20%
13%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente Fontana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
IND
3 - 1
LAG
33%
24%
42%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
IND
2 - 1
ALU
42%
24%
34%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
SAR
1 - 0
IND
70%
19%
11%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
IND
0 - 0
FON
33%
24%
43%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2013 |
SOL
1 - 0
IND
74%
16%
10%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | -1 |