Sportivo Patria vs Fontana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
8.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
SOL
2 - 1
SPA
31%
26%
43%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
SPA
1 - 0
IND
78%
15%
7%
|
55 | 31 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
SMA
0 - 0
SPA
45%
28%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
RES
1 - 1
SPA
16%
22%
62%
|
55 | 32 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
SPA
1 - 0
LAG
76%
16%
8%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Fontana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
FON
3 - 1
LAG
50%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
ALU
2 - 3
FON
40%
24%
36%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
FON
0 - 1
SAR
28%
26%
47%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
FON
0 - 3
SOL
32%
25%
43%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
IND
0 - 0
FON
33%
24%
43%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |