Sportivo Luqueño vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
33.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Luqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
CCP
1 - 0
LQE
63%
21%
15%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2021 |
LQE
3 - 1
GUA
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
LQE
0 - 3
AME
42%
26%
33%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2020 |
GUA
1 - 0
LQE
48%
26%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
LQE
2 - 2
LIB
18%
23%
59%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 0
AME
48%
26%
27%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
GUA
2 - 2
NAC
58%
23%
18%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
NAC
0 - 1
AME
46%
26%
29%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2020 |
NAC
2 - 2
GEN
71%
19%
10%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
RPA
1 - 1
NAC
31%
28%
42%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |