Conmebol Sudamericana Playoffs. 1/32
Global 2-2
Sportivo Luqueño vs Deportivo Cuenca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
30.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Luqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2018 |
DEP
4 - 1
LQE
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
LQE
2 - 2
LIB
35%
28%
37%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
SPT
2 - 4
LQE
32%
27%
42%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2017 |
LQE
3 - 0
GEN
42%
28%
30%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
CCP
4 - 1
LQE
58%
23%
20%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Cuenca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
RIV
0 - 1
CUE
38%
27%
34%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
CUE
1 - 3
LIG
45%
28%
27%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
BSC
3 - 0
CUE
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
CUE
1 - 2
NAC
38%
27%
36%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
DEL
0 - 0
CUE
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |