Sportivo Luqueño vs 12 de Octubre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
20.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Luqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2021 |
RPA
1 - 0
LQE
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
LQE
0 - 3
NAC
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
CCP
1 - 0
LQE
63%
21%
15%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2021 |
LQE
3 - 1
GUA
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
LQE
0 - 3
AME
42%
26%
33%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
12 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
12O
0 - 5
AME
40%
26%
35%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
GUA
2 - 1
12O
71%
19%
10%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2021 |
12O
0 - 2
OLI
19%
22%
58%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
12O
2 - 2
RPA
53%
25%
23%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
12O
1 - 2
GUA
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |