Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
58.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barrio Argentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
BAR
1 - 3
AMT
41%
28%
31%
|
42 | 49 | -7 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
RIJ
1 - 1
BAR
44%
27%
28%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
AND
3 - 1
BAR
49%
26%
25%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
BAR
1 - 1
RIJ
46%
27%
27%
|
41 | 43 | -2 | 0 |
Matches
Andino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
AND
1 - 0
RIJ
48%
27%
26%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
AMT
2 - 2
AND
47%
27%
26%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
AND
3 - 1
BAR
49%
26%
25%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2020 |
RIJ
1 - 4
AND
41%
28%
31%
|
47 | 43 | -4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
AND
2 - 2
AMT
46%
27%
28%
|
47 | 49 | -2 | 0 |