Barrio Argentino vs Américo Tesorieri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
39.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barrio Argentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
CJI
2 - 0
BAR
54%
21%
26%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
BAR
2 - 2
AND
31%
22%
47%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 0
BAR
59%
20%
22%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
CAD
4 - 0
BAR
53%
21%
27%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
AMT
0 - 0
BAR
45%
21%
33%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Américo Tesorieri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
AMT
3 - 0
CAD
45%
22%
33%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2019 |
CJI
0 - 1
AMT
54%
21%
25%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
AMT
1 - 0
CAR
40%
22%
39%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
AMT
1 - 1
AND
31%
22%
47%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
AMT
0 - 0
BAR
45%
21%
33%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |