Sp. Villena vs Monforte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
28.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sp. Villena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
UDC
1 - 0
SPO
73%
16%
10%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
AGU
2 - 0
SPO
58%
21%
22%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
SPO
0 - 3
IDE
35%
23%
42%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
MUR
0 - 1
SPO
45%
23%
32%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
SPO
0 - 0
POB
44%
23%
33%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Monforte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
MON
2 - 2
AGU
29%
23%
48%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
IDE
1 - 1
MON
73%
16%
11%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
MUR
1 - 1
MON
52%
22%
26%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
POB
1 - 1
MON
65%
19%
17%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
MON
1 - 3
ENG
35%
23%
42%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |