Sporting Villanueva vs Plasencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
13.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Villanueva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
CDZ
0 - 2
SPV
27%
24%
49%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
SPV
3 - 1
IMP
81%
14%
6%
|
38 | 14 | 24 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
JER
2 - 3
SPV
30%
26%
44%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
DBN
2 - 4
SPV
35%
25%
40%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
SPV
1 - 0
MOR
60%
21%
18%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Plasencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
PLA
2 - 2
MOR
44%
25%
31%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
SNV
3 - 0
PLA
30%
25%
45%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -3 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
PLA
1 - 0
DPC
58%
22%
20%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
VAL
2 - 2
PLA
23%
25%
52%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
PLA
0 - 0
CPL
67%
19%
15%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |