Sporting San Miguelito vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
12.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
AMA
2 - 3
SMI
35%
29%
37%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
SMI
3 - 1
CHO
54%
26%
20%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
ARA
0 - 0
SMI
46%
28%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SMI
1 - 0
TAU
47%
26%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 1
SMI
36%
28%
36%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
AFC
1 - 1
CHI
49%
24%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
AMA
1 - 0
AFC
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
AFC
1 - 1
SFF
32%
26%
42%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CHO
3 - 1
AFC
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
AFC
2 - 0
COL
64%
21%
14%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |