Sporting San Miguelito II vs Centenario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
39.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2021 |
CDP
2 - 0
SSM
56%
23%
20%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
SSM
1 - 0
CDP
28%
25%
47%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
SSM
4 - 1
CHA
42%
25%
34%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +2 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
SSM
2 - 0
COL
42%
25%
33%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
UME
0 - 2
SSM
63%
20%
17%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Centenario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2021 |
COL
2 - 4
CEN
31%
25%
44%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
CEN
1 - 0
ARA
61%
22%
17%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
CHA
2 - 5
CEN
54%
24%
23%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
CEN
2 - 3
UME
45%
27%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
SSM
3 - 1
CEN
27%
25%
48%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -2 |