Sporting FC vs Municipal Liberia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
5º
10º
7º
22
5º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
GUA
3 - 1
SPO
26%
27%
47%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
CSU
0 - 3
SPO
12%
19%
70%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
GRE
0 - 1
SPO
25%
26%
49%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
SPO
0 - 0
LDA
34%
27%
39%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 0
SAN
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Municipal Liberia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
MUN
1 - 1
GRE
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
MUN
2 - 0
COF
68%
19%
13%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
SAN
3 - 3
MUN
54%
23%
22%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
MUN
3 - 0
PER
44%
27%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
LDA
3 - 3
MUN
73%
18%
9%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +1 |