Sporting FC vs Guadalupe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
1º
5º
4º
17
8º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
PER
0 - 1
SPO
34%
27%
39%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2023 |
SPO
4 - 3
GRE
50%
24%
26%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
CSC
2 - 1
SPO
48%
24%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
SPO
1 - 1
CSC
42%
23%
34%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2022 |
PER
1 - 4
SPO
39%
24%
37%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Guadalupe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 1
SAP
29%
28%
43%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CSH
1 - 0
GUA
65%
22%
14%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
PFC
1 - 1
GUA
51%
23%
26%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 1
PFC
40%
24%
36%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 2
SAP
28%
27%
46%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |