Sporting Paivense vs Bustelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
57.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Paivense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
UNI
4 - 1
SPA
75%
16%
9%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
SPA
0 - 0
AVA
36%
24%
40%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
RDA
4 - 0
SPA
81%
13%
6%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
SPA
3 - 1
BAI
53%
22%
25%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
OVA
1 - 3
SPA
67%
18%
15%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Bustelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
BUS
2 - 0
FIA
75%
16%
10%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ALB
1 - 1
BUS
46%
24%
30%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
BUS
1 - 0
MOU
82%
12%
6%
|
24 | 11 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 2
BUS
24%
24%
52%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
BUS
2 - 2
ESM
78%
14%
8%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |