Sporting Mertzig vs Steinfort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
63.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Mertzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
MER
3 - 1
BAS
63%
19%
18%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
GRE
1 - 0
MER
52%
23%
26%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
MER
4 - 1
LOR
23%
22%
55%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | +4 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
BBM
3 - 0
MER
82%
11%
6%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
MER
1 - 4
BER
27%
23%
50%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Steinfort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
BOE
3 - 1
STE
16%
21%
63%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
STE
1 - 0
ATE
46%
24%
31%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
FEU
2 - 4
STE
15%
19%
67%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
ORA
2 - 4
STE
23%
23%
55%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
STE
3 - 1
BAS
79%
14%
8%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | 0 |