Sporting CP vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
9.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1980 |
EST
0 - 1
SCP
14%
26%
60%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1980 |
UDL
1 - 2
SCP
14%
20%
66%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1979 |
SCP
2 - 0
VIT
72%
18%
11%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1979 |
SCP
4 - 1
VST
74%
17%
9%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1979 |
BMA
0 - 1
SCP
25%
28%
48%
|
87 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1980 |
BEL
1 - 0
MAR
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1980 |
EST
1 - 1
BEL
38%
30%
32%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1979 |
BEL
2 - 1
UDL
56%
25%
19%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1979 |
VIT
1 - 0
BEL
53%
25%
21%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 1979 |
BEL
1 - 0
BMA
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | +1 |