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Third Division. VFV B, Matchday 17

Hasselt vs KFC Duffel analysis

Hasselt KFC Duffel
22 ELO 40
27% Tilt 84%
4109º General ELO ranking 14697º
151º Country ELO ranking 203º
ELO win probability
28.3%
Hasselt
20.9%
Draw
50.8%
KFC Duffel

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
Hasselt
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
50.8%
Win probability
KFC Duffel
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Hasselt
+9%
+28%
KFC Duffel

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Tienen
47
56
50%
Eendracht Aalst
44
53
30%
Bocholt
43
52
27%
Cappellen
37
46
17%
Hasselt
37
45
11%
Hades
34
45
12%
Diegem Sport
34
42
11%
Vosselaar
32
43
10%
Berchem Sport
31
40
10º
6%
Londerzeel
10º
28
37
11º
9%
Geel-Meerhout
11º
27
34
13º
13%
Olympia Wijgmaal
12º
26
36
12º
15%
Pepingen
13º
25
32
14º
13%
KFC Duffel
14º
24
41
10%
Hoogstraten
15º
24
32
15º
16%
Belisia Bilzen
16º
21
28
16º
40%
Expected probabilities
Hasselt
KFC Duffel
Champion
2% 0%
Promotion playoffs
7% 1%
Could qualify for next round
38% 12%
Mid-table
53% 58%
Relegation playoffs
0% 10%
Relegation
0% 19%

ELO progression

KFC Duffel
DUF
Hasselt
SPO
Geel-Meerhout
GEE
Berchem Sport
BER
Cappellen
CAP
Eendracht Aalst
EEA
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hasselt
Hasselt
1%
X%
2%
ELO SPO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Jan. 2020
SPO
Hasselt
1 - 1
KFC Duffel
DUF
38%
28%
34%
289 608 -319 0
15 Dec. 2019
VOS
Vosselaar
1 - 1
Hasselt
SPO
51%
26%
24%
288 505 217 0
07 Dec. 2019
CAP
Cappellen
2 - 2
Hasselt
SPO
51%
25%
23%
288 449 161 0
29 Nov. 2019
SPO
Hasselt
1 - 3
Hades
HAD
41%
28%
31%
291 426 -135 -3
23 Nov. 2019
SPO
Hasselt
0 - 0
Pepingen
PEP
38%
28%
34%
290 613 -323 0

Matches

KFC Duffel
KFC Duffel
1%
X%
2%
ELO DUF ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Jan. 2020
SPO
Hasselt
1 - 1
KFC Duffel
DUF
38%
28%
34%
608 289 -319 0
15 Dec. 2019
DUF
KFC Duffel
1 - 1
Cappellen
CAP
51%
25%
23%
608 449 159 0
08 Dec. 2019
DUF
KFC Duffel
1 - 0
Pepingen
PEP
45%
27%
28%
606 610 -4 +2
01 Dec. 2019
OLY
Olympia Wijgmaal
1 - 2
KFC Duffel
DUF
45%
27%
28%
604 600 -4 +2
24 Nov. 2019
DUF
KFC Duffel
2 - 2
Bocholt
BOC
53%
25%
22%
604 433 171 0