Hasselt vs KFC Duffel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
50.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+28%
Points and table prediction
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 56 |
1º
|
50% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 53 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 52 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 46 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
|
5º
|
37 | 45 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 45 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 42 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 43 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 40 |
10º
|
6% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 37 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 34 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 36 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 32 |
14º
|
13% | |
|
|
14º
|
24 | 41 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 32 |
15º
|
16% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 28 |
16º
|
40% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
| Champion | 2% | 0% |
| Promotion playoffs | 7% | 1% |
| Could qualify for next round | 38% | 12% |
| Mid-table | 53% | 58% |
| Relegation playoffs | 0% | 10% |
| Relegation | 0% | 19% |
ELO progression
DUF
SPO
GEE
BER
CAP
EEA
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hasselt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO SPO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
SPO
1 - 1
DUF
38%
28%
34%
|
289 | 608 | -319 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
VOS
1 - 1
SPO
51%
26%
24%
|
288 | 505 | 217 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
CAP
2 - 2
SPO
51%
25%
23%
|
288 | 449 | 161 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2019 |
SPO
1 - 3
HAD
41%
28%
31%
|
291 | 426 | -135 | -3 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
SPO
0 - 0
PEP
38%
28%
34%
|
290 | 613 | -323 | 0 |
Matches
KFC Duffel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO DUF | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
SPO
1 - 1
DUF
38%
28%
34%
|
608 | 289 | -319 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
DUF
1 - 1
CAP
51%
25%
23%
|
608 | 449 | 159 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
DUF
1 - 0
PEP
45%
27%
28%
|
606 | 610 | -4 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
OLY
1 - 2
DUF
45%
27%
28%
|
604 | 600 | -4 | +2 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
DUF
2 - 2
BOC
53%
25%
22%
|
604 | 433 | 171 | 0 |