LaLiga2 Round 38

Real Sporting vs CD Lugo analysis

Real Sporting CD Lugo
73 ELO 60
-8.6% Tilt -20.5%
446º General ELO ranking 2139º
34º Country ELO ranking 70º
ELO win probability
61.8%
Real Sporting
23.4%
Draw
14.8%
CD Lugo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
Real Sporting
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
14.8%
Win probability
CD Lugo
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Real Sporting
-3%
-15%
CD Lugo

Points and table prediction

Real Sporting
Their league position
CD Lugo
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
18º
17º
31
22º
22º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
22º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Granada
75
75
100%
UD Las Palmas
72
72
100%
Levante
72
72
100%
Deportivo Alavés
71
71
0%
Eibar
71
71
0%
Albacete
67
67
100%
FC Andorra
59
59
0%
Real Oviedo
59
59
0%
FC Cartagena
58
58
100%
Tenerife
10º
57
57
10º
100%
Racing
12º
54
54
11º
100%
Burgos
11º
54
54
12º
100%
Real Zaragoza
13º
53
53
13º
0%
Leganés
14º
53
53
14º
0%
Huesca
15º
52
52
15º
0%
Mirandés
16º
52
52
16º
0%
Real Sporting
17º
50
50
17º
0%
Villarreal B
18º
50
50
18º
0%
Málaga
20º
44
44
19º
100%
Ponferradina
19º
44
44
20º
100%
UD Ibiza
21º
34
34
21º
100%
CD Lugo
22º
31
31
22º
100%
Expected probabilities
Real Sporting
CD Lugo
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Real Sporting
CD Lugo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Real Sporting
Real Sporting
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Apr. 2023
CAR
FC Cartagena
2 - 1
Real Sporting
SPO
48%
28%
24%
73 72 1 0
16 Apr. 2023
SPO
Real Sporting
0 - 0
Deportivo Alavés
ALA
28%
27%
45%
73 80 7 0
08 Apr. 2023
IBI
UD Ibiza
1 - 3
Real Sporting
SPO
33%
30%
37%
73 64 9 0
02 Apr. 2023
SPO
Real Sporting
1 - 0
Granada
GRA
21%
25%
55%
71 81 10 +2
26 Mar. 2023
UDL
UD Las Palmas
1 - 1
Real Sporting
SPO
63%
23%
14%
71 76 5 0

Matches

CD Lugo
CD Lugo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Apr. 2023
LUG
CD Lugo
0 - 2
Málaga
MAL
29%
30%
41%
61 66 5 0
15 Apr. 2023
OVI
Real Oviedo
2 - 1
CD Lugo
LUG
61%
24%
15%
62 74 12 -1
07 Apr. 2023
LUG
CD Lugo
0 - 0
Tenerife
CDT
21%
30%
49%
61 74 13 +1
02 Apr. 2023
LUG
CD Lugo
0 - 0
Ponferradina
PON
27%
29%
45%
61 67 6 0
24 Mar. 2023
CAR
FC Cartagena
2 - 0
CD Lugo
LUG
62%
22%
16%
61 70 9 0