Real Sporting vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.8%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.9%
16.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1945 |
FCB
2 - 0
SPO
78%
13%
9%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1945 |
RMA
4 - 1
SPO
78%
13%
9%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1945 |
SPO
6 - 0
OVI
43%
21%
36%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 1945 |
SPO
4 - 1
MUR
58%
20%
22%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1945 |
SAB
2 - 2
SPO
48%
22%
30%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1945 |
HER
1 - 2
SEV
23%
21%
56%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1945 |
HER
3 - 1
BAR
69%
18%
13%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1945 |
CON
3 - 1
HER
45%
22%
33%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1945 |
HER
6 - 1
RCF
60%
21%
19%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1945 |
JFC
3 - 0
HER
54%
20%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |