Copa del Rey . Last 16
Global 4-1
Real Sporting vs CD Badajoz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
10.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1995 |
FCB
3 - 1
SPO
83%
12%
6%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1995 |
SPO
3 - 1
SEV
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 1995 |
VAD
2 - 0
SPO
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1995 |
SEV
2 - 1
SPO
69%
18%
13%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1995 |
SPO
1 - 1
OVI
51%
26%
23%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CD Badajoz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1995 |
LLE
1 - 0
CDB
63%
23%
14%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1995 |
CDB
1 - 1
LEG
66%
19%
15%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1995 |
EXT
0 - 1
CDB
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1995 |
LEG
0 - 2
CDB
54%
23%
22%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1995 |
CDB
2 - 1
ATH
52%
26%
22%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |