Sporting Cristal vs UTC Cajamarca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.1%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
9.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
3º
16º
3º
15
9º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 37 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 18 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
15 | 15 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
10 | 10 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
8 | 8 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
MEL
2 - 0
SPC
42%
25%
33%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SPC
0 - 0
ALI
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
AGP
1 - 1
SPC
30%
25%
45%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
SPC
4 - 0
MAN
77%
15%
8%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
SRP
3 - 3
SPC
30%
24%
46%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
UTC
1 - 1
ADT
29%
26%
45%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
COM
1 - 1
UTC
53%
25%
23%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
UTC
3 - 1
COM
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 0
UTC
67%
21%
12%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
UTC
1 - 1
ALI
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |