Sporting Cristal vs Juan Aurich Chiclayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
16.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
AUR
2 - 2
SPC
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2014 |
ALI
0 - 1
SPC
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
LOS
1 - 1
SPC
36%
28%
36%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
SPC
2 - 3
COM
71%
18%
11%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2014 |
SPC
3 - 2
ALI
58%
23%
20%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
AUR
2 - 2
SPC
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
UNI
3 - 1
AUR
35%
28%
37%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -2 |
| 24 Nov. 2014 |
AUR
1 - 1
SAM
62%
21%
17%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
AYA
3 - 1
AUR
40%
26%
34%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
AUR
1 - 0
GAR
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |