Sporting Cristal vs Ayacucho FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
9.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
TOT
1 - 3
SPC
43%
29%
29%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
SPC
0 - 2
CIE
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
SPO
0 - 5
SPC
41%
29%
30%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
SPC
5 - 0
ALI
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
CNI
0 - 0
SPC
48%
28%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
AYA
1 - 0
UNI
34%
31%
35%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
GAL
1 - 0
AYA
57%
24%
20%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
AYA
1 - 1
MEL
45%
28%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
AUR
1 - 0
AYA
52%
26%
22%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
AYA
1 - 1
BOL
45%
27%
29%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |