Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
18.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
ALI
0 - 2
SPC
28%
25%
47%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2016 |
COM
1 - 3
SPC
33%
27%
40%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
SPC
3 - 1
GAR
56%
23%
20%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2016 |
SPC
2 - 1
MEL
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
HUA
3 - 1
SPC
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2016 |
ALI
3 - 0
SAM
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
VAL
0 - 0
ALI
38%
28%
35%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
ALI
0 - 1
COM
46%
27%
28%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2016 |
ALI
1 - 1
MUN
48%
27%
26%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
ALI
0 - 1
ALI
39%
27%
34%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |